there is no reason that thing would do anything except take a general westward heading. unless sebastianlou has a hurricane tractor beam in his back yard. climatologically speaking this time of year florida doesn't get hit from that direction unless you've got a deep late summer trough digging in over the mississippi valley. they're stuck under a big hot ridge over there, so no dice.
the initial burst cooled and secondaries are going off in a ring on the western semicircle. some additional cells fired on the eastern side, too. all it is right now is a convective burst near a wind-shift.
the thing in the western atlantic... again, nice circulation at the low levels, nice upper air profile... no convection, really. it hasn't really changed all day. until it starts blowing deep convection, it's a can of corn.
HF 2327z15august