|
|
|||||||
This might be an interesting test of your forecasting skills because it requires some consideration of both intensity and forecast track. On the assumption that TD6 will eventually become Hurricane Florence, tell me: 1) At what Date/Time (gmt) will Florence become a hurricane? and 2) At what latitude and longitude will this happen? Verification will be as determined by future NHC bulletins. Please attempt to get your forecasts posted by 12Z (8am EDT) on Tuesday morning. You can state your rationale for your forecast if you wish, but it is not required. Nobody fails on this one - its just an exercise that will make some of you realize just how difficult tropical cyclone forecasting can often be, so don't be afraid to participate - you might just come up with the best guess. You can change your forecast as often as you wish - right up until 8am (EDT). Good Luck! Cheers, ED |