Clark
(Meteorologist)
Sat Nov 04 2006 05:34 PM
Re: Quiet Time Interrupted?

Also, the Canadian model had some wholesale changes implemented into it at the start of the month with two goals:

1) Improve the horizontal resolution (now global at 33km, not shabby)
and
2) Reduce the number of false alarms with tropical development and, overall, improve tropical cyclone forecasting (particularly as it relates to the speed of motion)

The CMC's GEM model was notorious for overdeveloping and overaccelerating tropical cyclones. Just because it got one right out of 100 wrong doesn't make it worth watching just because of the one that it did get right. That principle is why so many people have a problem with AccuWeather, but that's another topic for another day and another forum.



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