Eastern Pacific Lorena has become a hurricane and continues to enjoy conditions favorable for continued strengthening. As such, models that have predicted a deeper and more coherent cyclone (GFS, HWRF, HMON, HAFS, others), which thus also strongly favor a track towards into and potentially across mainland northwestern Mexico are now much more in play and likely to verify than those that predicted a shallower, weaker system with a track either west out to colder water/dissipating near or over the Baja (ECMWF, GDPS, ICON, others).

Considering the potential for significant water impacts to portions of the southwestern US, we are now starting a de facto Other Storm Basins "Lounge" on Hurricane Lorena.