Most recent 0z hurricane model runs have come in and continue a trend of both a closer approach, if not outright direct landfall, for the Big Island, as well as a somewhat stronger cyclone that is producing sustained winds of up to 132 MPH at 5,000' elevation (roughly 18% or so of the Big Island is at least this high). Generally in a tropical cyclone, the higher the altitude, the stronger the winds (tho not always, and for a number of different reasons). In any event, the runs below depict these models' expectations for maximum sustained winds at roughly 5,000' Ignore the white portions as those are merely artifacts of the models.