cieldumort
(Moderator)
Tue Sep 29 2026 01:13 AM
Re: Hurricane Polo

Most recent Globals + Hurricane Model runs on Polo

Note that a lot of these runs that show Polo well in to the United States are tracking remnant or post-tropical cyclone low pressure and not necessarily Polo as a still-intact tropical cyclone. Polo's interaction with the approaching upper-level low and dynamics related to terrain are still likely to result in an area of low pressure almost if not indistinguishable from an inland tropical cyclone with regard to impacts, regardless, and there is still some chance that Polo maintains as a TC into the US

06z Track Suite


06z Intensity Suite



OFCI is the official NHC forecast, which is well below the model guidance as can be seen above, and could be on the conservative side