LI Phil
(User)
Mon Jul 12 2004 07:16 PM
Re: Blas

I don't think it has enough time to strengthen to Hurricane status. Unless it undergoes a rapid intensification (and I don't see any reason for that) or changes course to hug the coast (don't see that happening either), it will hit cooler waters before it can attain hurricane strength winds.

I suppose nothing is ever out of the question, but I wouldn't bet on it.

Of course, I'm not a met, so I'm not really qualified to give you anything more than my (un)educated opinion.

Perhaps one of the mets or HF/Steve/Rob Mann could offer a true meterology-based explanation.

Cheers,

LI Phil


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