(Weather Hobbyist)
Mon Jul 12 2004 08:23 PM
Re: Discussion

Yeah...can't really add much to what the NHC has already said on this one. Slowly becoming better organized tonight with a more symmetrical structure and deeper convection near the center. I imagine Blas is just 6-12HR away provided the trend continues. Shear is almost non-existent in the area, but subsidence lies immediately in the direction the storm is moving. This will keep it from intensifying TOO quickly...right now a moderate TS seems like a good bet before it approaches cooler waters.

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