LI Phil
(User)
Tue Jul 13 2004 12:27 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Blas forms at EPAC

Of the models, the GFDL is actually forecasting Blas to reach hurricane strength for a short period, while the UKMET is predicting a path much closer to the coast (and hence, over warmer water which could also nudge Blas to H status). Official track and progs are for a TS for 24-36 hours with a WNW track.

tracking models.

Also of note is now the models are backing off forming Celia in Blas' wake, as they were doing yesterday. I still feel there's a chance for Celia, but not a great one.

New disturbance in the WestPAC, should reach TS status and affect Taiwan down the road.

Cheers,

LI Phil


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