| Keith234 |
| (Storm Chaser) |
| Tue May 17 2005 05:45 PM |
|
Re: Model Runs and thoughts on TD-1 (E Pac)
|
The problem is, most of all models are not purely dynamic-they are more so hybrid (staticscal and dynamical). The fact that there is virtually no climatology for this storm doesn't help forecasting, but I like what the NHC is doing, although I would favor a bit higher. Just go back to your basics, it's forming in a a pool of 30 C+ waters, and no shear with aided outflow from jet above. To top it off it's moving slow! I hope this isn't a bad omen.