the current forecast track for monica takes the storm in well east of darwin. there's enough land between that i'd expect darwin will only get gales and maybe hurricane force gusts. probably a category 1 type surge through a tidal cycle or two. jeff masters article brings up larry and glenda, which have both been quite intense. they've had quite a set of memorable storms this go-around. fortunately australia doesn't have a megatropolis-type city on its cyclone-vulnerable coastline... with the sydney, melbourne, brisbane type cities in the middle latitudes facing away from the warm tropical waters. there's only so much trouble they can cause. HF 0544z24april
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