Chanchu is passing over the Philippines as a weak typhoon, equivalent to Cat 1 or possibly Cat 2. It did finally get convection wrapped around yesterday...appeared that it may have been sheared a bit before that from the NW, or had some dry air intrusion as well.

While a little messy looking now, it is forecast in the latest JTWC warning #16 to strengthen just up to Cat 4 strength, about two days from now, before hitting mainland China -- but JMA forecast keeps it a low-end typhoon during that time period.

I've been kind of busy this week or would have posted on this thread sooner, but I've been keeping an eye on 02W this week.