Margie
(Senior Storm Chaser)
Fri May 12 2006 11:11 PM
Re: Typhoon Chanchu aka Tropical Storm Caloy

Well I take that back about Hong Kong not being in this storm's sights. JTWC just put out warning #18 and it is bullseyeing that direction. Good news is they dropped back on the intensity forecast, and they really drop it down just before landfall, so that while it's likely to be larger, it won't be very much more powerful than it was just before it hit the Philippines.

But even the equivalent of a Cat 1 or Cat 2, there will be the same issue with high rises getting more wind, so definitely something to prepare for in Hong Kong. Luckily they are getting quite a lot of advance notice on this one.

JMA is still forecasting a lower intensity (even accounting for the difference between the 1-minute and 10-minute windspeeds).



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