Clark
(Meteorologist)
Thu May 25 2006 08:48 PM
Re: 91E consolidating

Agree wholeheartedly with HF's assessment of this developing disturbance. It's got some semblance of an outflow jet to the north and northeast, but this feature is also leading to some weak-moderate shear over the storm. Nothing too big, however. The SSTs that it is near are really warm -- 30C -- but the waters along the coastline are a touch shallow. Nothing like what Adrian encountered last year, however. Some odd runs of the GFS wanted to take this toward the Isthmus of Tehuantepec; it could happen, but I don't think it's the most likely scenario. Further west is more likely. Figure it's got a fair shot at some intensification, outside shot at minimal hurricane intensity.

Just my personal view...and not my forecast



Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center