(Senior Storm Chaser)
Wed Jul 12 2006 08:59 PM
Re: Bud

Advisory #9 increased the intensity to 90kts. Bud has just about reached the border of 28deg C water. The well-defined eye is large in comparison to the small symmetric area of convection, but is not cleared out (a water vapor image shows that convection still lopsided in terms of intensity).

It appears on sat imagery that the eye has expanded a little and become more symmetric the last couple hours (if the eye gets any larger it is going to remind me a little of Epsilon). This may mean the structure is more stable, which will enable the storm to continue to hold together nicely over the next day or two, with intensity dropping off slowly. With water temperatures decreasing, it doesn't appear that convection will be able to ramp up enough to push the winds up to 100 kts. The diurnal max in about 10-12 hours will be the last call for this to happen, but the convection may have lost ground by then and will just be playing catch up to the current intensity.

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center