cieldumort
(Moderator)
Mon Sep 04 2006 07:29 AM
Re: IOKE NOW CAT 4 per NRL - Warnings up for Johnston Island -

Ioke is now expected to transition into a very powerful 965mb extra-tropical cyclone and impact the Aleutians and southern Alaska.

NWS Anchorage:

MODEL UNCERTAINTY EXISTS WITH NEXT STORM TO IMPACT THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN
WED/THU. THE GFS IS BY FAR THE FASTEST OF SOLUTIONS WHERE ECMWF IS
MUCH SLOWER BEYOND WED NIGHT (07/12Z). PRESSURES APPEAR TO BE WITHIN
THE BALLPARK. SINCE THIS SYSTEM HAS TROPICAL ORIGINS...AM FAIRLY
CONFIDENT THIS WILL BE A SIGNIFICANT STORM...BUT POSITIONING WILL
CONTINUE TO BE A PROBLEM. FOR NOW WILL NUDGE WINDS UP IN EXTENDED
FORECAST PERIODS AND WATCH SYSTEM AS IT EVOLVES.


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