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Just a quick update on what's happening to the 'Dual Depressions' in the East Pacific. I'll paraphrase bits and snips of NHC's current and previous Forecast Discussions, relevant to this post, for those not inclined to read the discussions on the NHC website, especially just for a 'sniggling' little depression in the Eastern Pacific. NHC's discussions are "quotated" and in ALL CAPS. TD-5E, it seems, is already encountering cooler SST's and may never quite make it to storm status, just I suspected 24 hours ago with my first post. (See above.) Per NHC's latest advisory (NUMBER 4 - 200 AM PDT SUN JUL 15 2007) (paraphrased) " ... THE DEPRESSION CONTINUES TO STRUGGLE THIS MORNING ... THE SYSTEM BARELY CLASSIFIES AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE ... (a recent) QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATES THAT THE CIRCULATION IS QUITE SMALL AND THAT THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE NO HIGHER THAN ABOUT 25 KT. THE ENVIRONMENT AHEAD OF THE DEPRESSION IS RATHER HOSTILE WITH STRONG SHEAR AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ... SEVERAL OF THE GLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST THAT THE REMNANT LOW COULD BE ABSORBED BY THE LARGER CIRCULATION OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E DURING THE NEXT 2-3 DAYS." Hmmm .... That last statement is rather interesting, and I will come back to it in my next post. (See below.) |