CoconutCandy
(User)
Fri Jun 27 2008 12:33 AM
Cyclogenesis Now Well Underway

Looks like 94E is on the cusp this evening. I see there is now the TCFA issued, as I expected, since organization has been steadily improving throughout the day. And the short-term upper level and thermodynamic environment is very favorable for cyclogenesis.

As noted in the most recent TWO, a tropical depression may form " ... at any time", if it hasn't done so already. Maybe it needs just a little more sustained deep convection for the T-number classification; those kinds of technical considerations.

But, as shown in the following image, the circulation is quite well defined and already taking on the classic cyclone signature, with hints of the 'clear' warm core developing, with many convective bands organizing in the classic pinwheel structure. Fun things to watch!




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