This is definitely a potentially exciting weather event. Depending on how organized the system is when it arrives, it could be significant. I'm concerned about the heavy rain that could result over the mountainous terrain of the Island of Hawaii. Especially the longer the the system holds together in such an organized manner. This was what I was worried about with Hurricane Flossie 2yrs ago, but luckily it stay far enough away that the torrential rain bands stayed offshore. A direct hit from even a dying Felicia could mean something worse. I'm very impressed with the system so far. It's staying fairly decent in strength over waters that are pretty much lacking much oceanic heat content. I think the shear will be a strong determinant of how strong it'll be when it makes landfall. I was thinking it would arrive as a depression, but now i'm thinking 40-45mph tropical storm isn't out of the question at all, even with moderate shear distorting it.