| vpbob21 |
| (Weather Guru) |
| Sat Aug 22 2009 12:16 AM |
|
Re: Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert Issued
|
92E seems to be coming together nicely tonight. There seems to be an anticyclone over the system, SST's are around 30 deg. C and deep convection is quickly firing. I wouldn't be surprised to see a TD by Saturday morning.
The models are pretty bullish on 92E, with GFDL, HWRF and SHIPS all bringing it to hurricane strength in 5 days. By then the system figures to be SE of the Big Island, with the HWRF the further north model at about 250 miles away.
Could be an interesting week ahead for Hawaii if this develops ...