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Yes, I have to agree, 22W has the look of a system that could be a very dangerous typhoon somewhere east of the Philippines in a few days. Hopefully the trough that the latest JTWC discussion indicates will tug 22W a little to the north at about the 48 hour mark is able to pull it far enough to miss the islands. Hard to say, though. I have to think if it stays weak for another day or two it will probably stay more to the south, and that would be bad news. Still, it's probably 5-6 days out, so a lot can happen. |