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A continuing moderate and still strengthening El Nino event still presides throughout the Central Pacific Basin, which usually implies the continued threat of late-season tropical cyclone development and a less than normal rainfall pattern, thus exacerbating the already severe and extreme drought conditions on certain parts of the islands. Click the following link for a brief one-page PDF file summarizing the current and expected conditions. Possible Late Season Tropical Cyclones and Continuing Drought Conditions It was the El Nino related, late-season Hurricane "Iwa" in 1982 which passed barely west of Kauai from the south about a week before Thanksgiving. So we in Hawaii must remain vigilant for several months to come. Wikipedia Article of Hurricane Iwa Dr. George PC's Post on Hurricane Iwa's Meteorology |