Sun Oct 17 2010 07:35 PM
Re: First STY of West Pac Season to Hit Philippines

Such a juxtaposition this super typhoon highlights: Approaching a hyperactive season in the Atlantic, and basically a record low season in the Pacific from west to east; and yet, not a single hurricane has made direct landfall on the US, so far.

Western Pacific Typhoon Season

GCACIC Average: (1950–2000) 31 TCs 27 Storms 17 Typhoons
JTWC 2010 YTD: 12 TCs 11 Storms 5 Typhoons

Eastern Pacific Hurricane Season

NOAA Average: 15.3 Storms 8.8 Hurricanes 4.2 Majors
2010 YTD: 7 Storms 3 Hurricanes 2 Majors

Now along comes Megi in the Western Pacific, and it looks on track to roar into the Philippines at what we would call a Cat 4 or Cat 5 on the Saffir-Simpson Scale.

This truly shows that it is never just about the number of named storms, hurricanes and majors, but rather, where they go, that dictates the impacts of any given season.

That old saying, "It only takes one."

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