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seven storms over two months. sounds reasonable. should have two off the list by the start of next week, and when the wave train gets going it usually keeps producing the odd longtracker until about september 20th, so maybe another one there. then watch for a big SOI positive shift for upstream amplification in the east and the late season systems that track up from the western caribbean. after watching the gulf spit out so many weak systems again this year, not unreasonable to assume it can spin off a couple more. HF 2206z04september |