on september 6th, ed dunham gave us the isabel challenge.. the challenge was to use your amateur forecasting skill and place the center of the storm to within two degrees and intensity to within 10kt on 12z september 13th... on at the time a lowly tropical storm in the eastern atlantic. right now it looks like storm cooper will come closest, as his position isn't far removed from the nhc's forecast. if the intensity isn't signicantly lower by then, everybody busts, as no one guessed higher than 110kt.
but, here's another opportunity to place isabel a week out:
where will isabel be to within 2 degrees, and how strong will the storm be to within 10kt, at 00z on 18 september (thats 8pm eastern wed. september 17th)? post any time tomorrow.
HF 0445z11september