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Now that the Atlantic Basin is 'finally' quiet and the long season has ended, its time for a short look back at the Seasonal Forecasts that were made last Spring. At 12/7/3, I really was too low on the total number of storms, but I managed to hit the number of Hurricanes and Majors on the nose at 7/3. So did Kevin and Joe. With a forecast of 16 named storms, Just Me was right on the money and at the time I'll have to admit that I thought the '16' was too high - excellent forecast! Best overall forecast was Joe with a forecast of 14/7/3 - thats a total offset of just 2. Clyde W. was just off by one in each category for a total offset of three. Others with an offset of three were: Dr Gray, Kevin and Cycloneye - all good forecasts. My offset was 4 - along with Steve, HankFrank, Just Me and Frank P. For all of those that participated - thanks for giving it a try. I'll post my thoughts for the 2004 season in January. Cheers, ED |