It's an interesting setup in the Eastern Pacific right now...cooler than normal near-shore, while a bit warmer than normal towards the Nino 3-4 region(s). On the whole though, anomalies rarely exceed 1° anywhere in the basin, so whatever is out there is rather weak. It will be interesting to see how this plays out over the course of the season, though we're seeing now what will likely be the influencing factors for the beginning of the season.

I still feel confident in 13/7/3, but we'll see what happens over the course of the next few months. If the current pattern holds, we'll get a lot of fish spinners; if we retreat into the pattern of a couple of weeks ago, we'll see a lot of landfalling storms. Likely, it'll be somewhere in between. I don't have any skill in identifying that however, so I'll leave that for the others.