Dr. Grays numbers seem to be the lowest. While I personally will not even hope to make a prediction for fear of bieng wrong, I thought that the NHC diddnt forcast intensity, --only location. At any rate, these varying forcast differ greatly --and this isn't the NHC. Now, I know that it is still early in the game, but could we have some reasoning with each respected forcast? Or is that not the purpose of this game? I use the term 'game' loosly, and I am in no way implying that hurricanes are a game. However, I feel that this forcasting competition has become one. To add a bit of a scientific flair to all this, I believe that anyone who dares to bet on the numbers, should include at least a little reasoning. Sorry --just had to say it.

EDIT: for example, like Clark