The following link will take you to a PDF file download of an analysis of the June 1st forecasts by Dr. Gray for each season compared to the actual observations for the entire season for each period since 1999. Note that this overview also includes the revised June 1, 2005 numbers, however, the revised 2005 forecast numbers are not included in the averages calculated for each category.

This file includes a variance report (from forecast) of the June 1st forecast numbers, several charts and the final two pages are the raw data.

Since our focus is the graphical dissemination of data, no effort was made to prepare a synopsis beyond our observation of the trend that Dr. Gray tends to be conservative in his forecasts.

http://www.skeetobiteweather.com/analysis/dr_gray.pdf