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Your idea of a storm like Emily forming plus JB's idea of 2 tropical systems forming next week, and the model support lead me to believe we could have a similar scenario with Emily and Cindy in 1999. Fortunately those two systems were fish spinners, and one was absorbed by the other. MJO activity needs to be monitored over the next 1-2 weeks as there is some anomalous convection, and the effects are very pronounced over south India and china; as this could affect the future of these waves. Shear and SSTS are also very favorable in the central Atlantic, so I would definitely watch this wave, and the next one that comes off Africa. I know we have Dennis, but that's me. BTW, best of luck for those who choose to stay in the path of Dennis, and god's speed. Over and out. |