Sun Jul 10 2005 12:33 PM
Re: Area of Interest - Central Tropical Atlantic

not looking for fish spinners here. the front one is developing faster, so there won't be a huge hurricane killing the easterlies behind a shallow tropical storm. 98L is significantly far to the south that it should get the islands.. my reckoning is that it will go through the northeastern caribbean as potentially a hurricane around thursday july 14th. after that it looks like the trough off the east coast will have lifted out and a flat ridge will send it hurtling west.
away to the east that other wave has better model support, but it's profile is unclear. theres a weak sfc low around 25w... but it isn't much of a standout with all of the itcz convection nearby. that may be the seedling that gets a disturbance going, but i think it more likely that it evolves very slowly and shouldn't start looking intimidating until wed or so.
HF 1733z10july

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