disagree. there's another thread with the same topic... the gfs recurves the second one... typical knee-jerk response. most of the globals are tracking the energy of the leader east to florida. the second revs up (more than it will) early on and gets latitude, finds a trough weakness and goes up near bermuda.
problem is, the first one is developing and will respond differently. it may indeed end up near florida, or perhaps a little further north. the second one i'm holding the jury on; if it gets strong, yeah, that ridge weakness scenario looks right. but i'm fairly sure it will be on a lower trajectory path as well. since nothing has the storm out in front of it right, i don't reckon it has the environment for the second...
ah anyway, what do i know. i am pulling for a hurricane or near hurricane in the islands on july 14th, and perhaps a sixth tropical cyclone of the season around mid-month.
okay, no more wacky scenarios.
HF 1855z10july