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TD#14 forms AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF NEWLY FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.0 NORTH... LONGITUDE 46.1 WEST OR ABOUT 1115 MILES...1795 KM...EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH ...26 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. ---if it follows the NHC projected path it will not be a threat to land, we wil have to wait and see. |