Ricreig
(User)
Mon Sep 05 2005 11:00 PM
Re: Area of Interest - Northern Bahamas

Quote:

Richard,

I hope you're right too, although I'm wondering what WV loop you're looking at. It looks to be headed straight for the east coast of Florida, to me...then a turn to the NNE/NE toward the Big Bend area. I'm sort of surprised that the NHC isn't paying more attention to it because that's just north of where Katrina formed.


I'm looking at http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/gmex-wv-loop.html
and while it may move somewhat West initially, I think it will move NW near the coast (east coast) or slightly inlland then be deflected to the NE. It is so weak that even low level currents should catch it. We'll see. Regardless, I see some rain and breeze in our future. I just don't really think it has the 'space' to spin up into anything serious before hitting land. In fact, the western edge is already grazing FLaud or so it appears.



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