Well except for an big uh-oh moment last night after James' dissipation forecast, thinking I must be really wrong to be so far on the other end of the spectrum, I've been bullish on this one since Sat morning, and pretty much in lock-step with Stace's discussions.

Earlier, this weekend, I emailed someone I thought it would 'go the distance' and likely make it to the GOM. I have more confidence in that scenario now than ever, and unless it gets mowed down by an ULL encounter, I expect it to reach major hurricane status and be a bit of a nail-biter.

Note another pop of convection now pushing north over the center (about 0100Z).