I can easily agree with there forecasts. This warming we are seeing is not good for the upcoming season, the way the high pressures are set up. The bermuda high is pushing slightly westward, looks to be more landfalling storms if it continues to either stay or push more westward by the summer. It's about the same setup as in December of 1998, which led to some landfalls in 1999. Heat leads to active Hurricane Season. I have now bumped my numbers due to the heat so early and the way the storms are going to 18/9/6 (sorry, just going by the observations). My eyes are on the Gulf of Mexico this year, something like Katrina could pop up again in the summer if things keep on going the way there going this year so far.