Iam going with 16/9/5...

Overall with Neutral conditions look like the maybe around this season i look for a more favorable enviroment to be in place during this season.Currently parts of the atlantic are running somewhat below normal shear wise for this time of the year.Also SST'S are also running above normal in areas like the bahamas and the MDR region.A few other factors are also involved which iam not going to get into but the most important issue is what will the longwave pattern be this summer?The atmosphere is constantly changing and trying to predict were the bermuda high will park itself this season is not possbile as its hard to predict 2 weeks out.Its all about trofs and ridges with tropical systems.

In the coming weeks the pieces of the puzzle will be coming together which will tell us how the meat of the season might look like.Adrian