It's funny everyone on wunderground and on here are writing this storm off and you just wait.. because the same thing with Felix is gonna happen with this one, it will start to develop later on today or tonight.. write when everybody looses faith.. you know, shear is expected to weaken, Just give it some time folks, don't write it off yet, when a storm becomes tropical it WILL loose convection and maybe even structure but once it's fully tropical and out of the shear zone, it will develop. The shear is decreasing a tad, and it's moving a bit southeast into marginal or even favorable conditions, however I expect a tropical storm or minimal huricane at landfall around the Carolinas, not a catgeory 3. I'll give it a 7/10 chance of development, lets see what happens today, it seems like some minimal convection is trying to wrap around the center.