15/8/5. A waning La Nina... seen this before. Probably start our real slow (maybe something real early, then nothing til mid-August), and then when the usual bunch starts calling the season a bust, we'll get started for real. Think the trend of out-of-season late activity will keep up this season. Not going to speculate on actual strikes, because the two seasons can have identical activity but totally different results dependent on how the longwave pattern is set up in the late summer/early fall. And maybe I picked 15 because some part of my psyche still dreads seeing Paloma out there. But Omar, Omar is okay. There's a little seven years ago reference for you old timers.
See ya'll for real in June, if I don't get carried off to Oz first.
HF 0045z17march