Cape Verde storms are all "fish" storms as in they have a long way to swim before they get where they are going.. sort of like EPAC storms that threaten Hawaii.. takes a long time of watching for the few that hit.

Most do recurve but where..

If it forms and develops fast it will curve out to sea close to Africa.. like most do that come off spinning fast this time of year.

IF it stays low enough and travels west it will recurve but slower and the longer it takes to get there before it recurves often puts it in a place where it turns west again for a while.

Forward speed here is as big an issue as wind speed ...

Ships I believe keeps it west the last I heard. It could pull a bit wnw and then keep going west. Helps when they do that dip wsw for a day or so before heading back west.

Of more current interest is the bright spot of convection at the middle of the wave and note the long, strong banding on the southern part of it that looks almost like it's dragging an anchor along.