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I tend to agree with you - fully - because the latest 18Z consensus plot would put the storm in an area of moderate and increasing westerly shear at 96 hours. At that point, SHIPS has the system at 82kts - not likely at all. The early Invest tag surprises me - Invest means Investigate - I wonder how that would be done off the west coast of Africa? Don't get too wrapped up over this one quite yet - Atlantic wind shear still rules for awhile. Perhaps the intent was to prompt a little early season Hurricane Awareness. ED |