The early invest didn't surprise me as the models have been picking it up and it is one of the most perfectly formed Cape Verde waves I have seen in a long time. And, convection is not only hanging on but popping at the center of the wave.

The NHC is not wave casting in order to get media hype. They often have highlighted waves coming off of Africa. They have even made a few Tropical Depressions this far out. And, if they fall apart..they will deal with it.

And investigation means they are investigating it.. it does not mean that they will be sending a plane out to it within 24 hours.

It is not merely a cluster of rain showers but a very, tightly wound wave with some sort of circulation at some level and model support. And, when you use the NRL site and check it out on different levels with frequent updates you can see how worthy it is of an invest.

Takes a lot for a wave to look this good, takes more for a depression. Takes patience to watch a Cape Verde wave as they have a long, long road to go with many obstacles which is why many recurve.

And, any negative problems such as increased shear and low water temps will only inhibit it's intensification progress and if that does happen it will stay west bound most likely.