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Invest 92L is now more of an area of interest since intensification has not yet occured, however folks in the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, The Turk & Caicos Islands and the southern Bahamas still need to closely monitor this system with the potential for heavy rainfall tonight over portions of the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico. At 15/00Z, NHC places the system at 18.3N 64.6W with sustained winds of 30 knots and a central pressure of 1011MB. At 01Z the system was over St. Thomas but the winds at both St. Thomas and St. Croix were reported as calm - additional justification for no Tropical Depression yet. Invest 92L continues to move just to the north of due west at about 9 knots. With this movement, the system should skirt the north shore of Puerto Rico and the Dominican Republic tonight and early Friday and this proximity to land could impede any additional development for awhile - but eventual intensification is still anticipated by the NHC later on Friday. Until this system becomes a tropical cyclone, long range projections on its future track are a big unknown. ED Update At 04Z winds at St. Thomas gusting to 30 knots out of the east southeast. |