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Your link illustrated steering currents from 850-700mb which is more like low-level flow (below 10kft). Since the low associated with Invest 93L is now over the extreme eastern tip of the Dominican Republic and drifting north, the upper level flow probably already has more of an influence. This difference in flow creates some vertical shearing and contributes to the lack of any rapid organization. Here is a link that I like to use to get an idea of the upper level steering at 300mb (30kft): SFSU 300MB Jetstream - 48 hours Charts are also available for 00, 12, 24 and 36 hours. If the system eventually develops, the upper level steering patterns would suggest a possible concern for an area from the mid-Atlantic coast to the Northeast coast. Cheers, ED |