danielwAdministrator
(Moderator)
Tue Jun 02 2009 09:15 PM
Re: Azores' Invest 92L Becoming Better Organized, Acquiring Tropical Characteristics

Interesting indeed. Here's the latest Tropical Model text output from 18Z today. 2PM EDT

TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1827 UTC TUE JUN 2 2009

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.

ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL922009) 20090602 1800 UTC...

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 44.0N LONCUR = 23.8W DIRCUR = 355DEG SPDCUR = 11KT
LATM12 = 41.7N LONM12 = 23.7W DIRM12 = 10DEG SPDM12 = 10KT
LATM24 = 40.1N LONM24 = 24.7W
WNDCUR = 45KT RMAXWD = 30NM WNDM12 = 40KT
CENPRS = 995MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 300NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 60NM RD34SE = 60NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM

Current estimated winds of 45kt and pressure of 995mb would indicate that the system is probably a hybrid system. Subtropical with tropical characteristics.


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