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Well this has been downgraded by the NHC to <30% chance of development in the next 48 hours, however the forecast discussion still suggests they believe it will develop. Looking at the loop below, there is definitely good low and upper level circulation going on and some new convection is already starting to pop up around the circulation. Wouldn't surprise me if this system developed quickly over the warmer waters and low shear that it is currently in. http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/loop-rgb.html |