well as of now, conditions are very favorable for a development. most likely by the end of the day or tonight. its hit some warmer waters due to the fact it keeps heading in that westardly motion. it looks preety good right now, the center of the storm looks to be flaring up nicely and holding together quite well. these models confuse me however. im not paying attention to them right now, they are all split down the middle and indecisive. ill wait for the nhc to bump it up. then some of the model runs might be a bit more stable and come into more agreement.