hogrunr
(Weather Guru)
Sun Aug 30 2009 02:19 PM
Re: Area of Interest - Invest 94L

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question, there seems to be a "blob" under cuba, i know these things blow up and then dissapate very quickly, but this seems to be holding on pretty well? just wondering if this could be something just starting, seems to be moving due north? thanks for your input. watching 94L looks impressive, somewhat hopeful it might get in the gulf, def moving into warmer water.... :?:




There have been no models that have predicted or hinted that this system will go into the GOM, as a matter of fact, the models are predicting the system to make a wnw turn in the near future.




But we have to be careful watching any of the models at this point, they track the systems possible movement based (more accurately anyway) on the higher level winds being the steering currents. Right now it is only being steered by lower level winds since it is so disorganized. It would not surprise me at all if this made it into the GOM area since it is still moving due west.

One of the last, good, visible satellite images of the day (arrow marks COC):




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