Impressive.

That explosion of convection over the remnant low of x-Agatha has just been on a tear today. I guess my remarks last night should have been more guarded considering the fact that we have not just any old trof still sitting out there, but the remnant low of what was until just very recently a named tropical storm - that is now sitting in one of the more conducive parts of the Atlantic basin at present (most other regions are even less favorable right now) - during a season many believe is going to become hyperactive.

With all that, I'll go ahead and re-up my guestimate of development in the northwestern Carib up from "super long shot" to 30% chance (over the next 48 hours) of cooking a numbered system.