Ed DunhamAdministrator
(Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017))
Tue Sep 28 2010 09:40 PM
Re: Area of Interest - Now TD 16

System has become very disorganized (again) and a precise center is unknown because the system has become so weak. Perhaps near 22.4N 81.6W at 29/01Z - on land and slowly crossing west central Cuba. The system may have disintegrated to a wave that is open to the south or it may be integrating into the trough to its west. Note that both the trough and the system are weak. With no winds or convection of any consequence near the center its really a stretch to consider this entity as a tropical depression, however I guess that some regeneration may still be possible whenever what is left of the center exits Cuba into the Florida Straits in the early morning hours. Right now, the likelyhood of tropical storm or even subtropical storm formation seems quite slim and the system may simply maintain as a weak low until it merges with the trough. Even with that solution, heavy rain still seems realistic for portions of the southern half of the Florida peninsula on Wednesday.

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